I want Blair out of office by the end of 2006I strongly suspect that that's an acheivable goal. Labour supporters are fed up with him, the country thinks he's a liar, and, well, he does look tired.
Cameron will run rings around him regularly at PMQs, pretty sure of that. If the new LibDem leader actually masters the brief and goes effectively on the offensive Blair will be fighting on three fronts.
Speculation seems to be that they'll go for a Brown coronation. Possible, they may alternately have a proper leadership election while Blair watches. The former is more likely if we can force him out, the latter will happen if he can stage manage it himself.
Y'see, I want Brown to take over as leader. He's a known quantity, we know where we are with him. As John Bright points out in his advice to the LibDems:
Pay more attention to Gordon Brown. Though the Cameron honeymoon has complicated things a little, Gordon Brown still enjoys the respect of progressive voters. We ought to be clearer on the differences between Brown’s centralism and our liberalism. We shared the consensus in 1997 that Thatcher and Major had left public services in need of more investment. But investment without decentralising reform hasn’t got us all that far. The Tories didn’t have many moments of lucidity in the 2001 election campaign, but for a few days they were making a very pertinent argument: “You paid the taxes. So where are the extra teachers?” You don’t have to “lurch to the right” to realise that this is a sound liberal line of attack on Gordon Brown.If it's left until close to the election for a changeover, then
- Blair can stage manage it
- The new leader will seem fresh
- People may be inclined to give them "a second chance"
Get Blair out early, get the new leader in early, let them have a chance to show their colours. It's to the advantage of Labour supporters (you never know, a new leader may change things), and it's definately to the advantage of the opposition parties and the wider electorate.
Blogging is beginning to scratch the UK political commentary, sometimes in a good way, otehrtimes not. In 2006, I suspect blogging will become a lot more accepted and we may actually be able to claim a few genuine scalps. Of course, getting Blair out will need more than just bloggers pushing together for it. But we can at least make a start.
So, be honest, Don't you think Blair looks tired?
I got this one from US bloggers, it cropped up on a quotes community, it's doing the rounds on Livejournal as a Bush variant. It's still worth it.